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April 5, 2009
2009 Projected Standings

Download all player projections for 2009 in Excel format by clicking here: 2009 Player Projections (April 5, 2009 version).

Projections take into account the player's park-adjusted and level-adjusted performance over the previous three seasons. They are then projected based on the player's age, team context, park, expected playing time, and regression to the mean. Players can easily be sorted by league and/or position as a reference for your fantasy draft.

Baseball Dope sees the Red Sox and Yankees as the top teams in the AL, capturing the AL East title and Wild Card, with Tampa Bay having another great year but suffering from being in the wrong division. The Angels should take the AL West, with Oakland trying to make it interesting. Cleveland is the favorite in the AL Central, with the rest of the teams evenly bunched.

In the National League, the Braves, Mets, and Phillies will fight it out for the NL East crown, with the Braves slight favorites. The Cubs should run away with the NL Central. The Dodgers project to win a weak NL West with only 82 wins. All five teams are in the hunt. The frontrunners for the Wild Card appear to be the Mets, Phillies, and Cardinals.

2009 Projected Standings

American League East
Team
W
L
Win%
GB
Boston Red Sox
96
66
.593
--
New York Yankees
95
67
.586
1.0
Tampa Bay Rays
84
78
.519
12.0
Toronto Blue Jays
75
87
.463
21.0
Baltimore Orioles
74
88
.457
22.0
National League East
Team
W
L
Win%
GB
Atlanta Braves
86
76
.531
--
New York Mets
85
77
.525
1.0
Philadelphia Phillies
84
78
.519
2.0
Florida Marlins
74
88
.457
12.0
Washington Nationals
68
94
.420
18.0
American League Central
Team
W
L
Win%
GB
Cleveland Indians
86
76
.531
--
Minnesota Twins
81
81
.500
5.0
Detroit Tigers
80
82
.494
6.0
Chicago White Sox
78
84
.481
8.0
Kansas City Royals
77
85
.475
9.0
National League Central
Team
W
L
Win%
GB
Chicago Cubs
95
67
.586
--
St. Louis Cardinals
85
77
.525
10.0
Milwaukee Brewers
81
81
.500
14.0
Cincinnati Reds
77
85
.475
18.0
Houston Astros
72
90
.444
23.0
Pittsburgh Pirates
71
91
.438
24.0
American League West
Team
W
L
Win%
GB
Los Angeles Angels
88
74
.543
--
Oakland A's
85
77
.525
3.0
Seattle Mariners
78
84
.481
10.0
Texas Rangers
77
85
.475
11.0
National League West
Team
W
L
Win%
GB
Los Angeles Dodgers
82
80
.506
--
Arizona Diamondbacks
81
81
.500
1.0
San Diego Padres
79
83
.488
3.0
Colorado Rockies
78
84
.481
4.0
San Francisco Giants
76
86
.469
6.0


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